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August 14, 2019

Weekly Predictor: Eyeing an upset in Toronto?

The Canadian Press

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Do you love upsets?

Well, this could be the week for you. (Note: could is the key word)

You have teams at the top of the power rankings taking on teams at the bottom of the power rankings. The week starts off with the 1-7 BC Lions, who are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Hamilton taking on the top team in the West Division, Winnipeg (6-2).

The Lions should have gained some confidence playing another 6-2 team so tough and starting to feel like they belong after some big losses in the first third of the season.

However, you still have a matchup of one of the top scoring offences in the league against one of the worst defences.

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Then of Friday, you have a 5-3 Eskimo team traveling to Toronto to take on the Argonauts, who are coming off their first win of the season.

We’ll see if a week of rest after a big win in Toronto helps the Argonauts against the Eskimos, who did not play anywhere near their best on offence against Ottawa.

The double header on Saturday features the Ottawa REDBLACKS trying to reel in the Hamilton Tiger-Cats, who are starting to pull away at the top of the East Division. The REDBLACKS also have a bit of a race for the second spot in the East with Montreal, with another cross-over potentially leading to only two Eastern teams in the playoffs.

And the week finishes off with the 5-3 Calgary Stampeders hosting the 3-5 Montreal Alouettes. The Stampeders may get Bo Levi Mitchell back this week to start their push for another home playoff game and potentially a number one seed in the playoffs.

Montreal is in the same boat as Ottawa, going back and forth for second in the East.

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BC at Winnipeg
Thursday, 8:30 p.m. ET

LeoVegas Odds
Favourite: Winnipeg (-12.5)
O/U: 51.5 points

Andrew Harris and the Bombers look to win at home on Thursday night (Jimmy Jeong/CFL.ca)

The BC Lions looked much improved after their bye week, however, little mistakes here and there allowed Hamilton to climb right back in and eventually take the victory.

The Lions defence has to stop Andrew Harris, though they also allow quarterbacks to throw for a high percentage. This is what Matt Nichols is great at, is finding the high percentage throw and making teams pay with sustained drives.

The Lions found success on the ground as well last week with a big night from John White. It started to take some relief off of Mike Reilly and gave the offensive line and little boost after big time struggles to start the season.

But 1-7 on the road against 6-2, I have to side with the reality of the matchup. Overall, Winnipeg has been better and much more consistent.

PICK: WINNIPEG (90 confidence bonus)

Edmonton at Toronto
Friday, 7:30 p.m. ET

LeoVegas Odds
Favourite: Edmonton (-9.5)
O/U: 49.5 points

Can McLeod Bethel-Thompson lead the Argos to their second win of the season? (The Canadian Press)

The bye week could have come at the best or worst time for the Argonauts. Do you want to carry the momentum from week to week after the first win or do you want to head home with a good feeling, get some R&R and come back rejuvenated and still having a bit more positive feeling?

It could be one of the top attended crowds in Toronto this week as well to give a little more excitement for the team.

Edmonton of course has gone three of their last four games with less than 20 points on the board from the offence. The one that was more was a 26-0 win over …. Toronto.

That game was in Edmonton, however, and I think Toronto is a lot more talented than 26-0. Confidence, rest, good crowd. I’m feeling some momentum on Toronto’s side in this one.

PICK: TORONTO (10 confidence bonus)

Hamilton at Ottawa
Saturday, 4:00 p.m. ET

LeoVegas Odds
Favourite: Hamilton (-2.5)
O/U: 49.5 points

Will Dane Evans and the Ticats defeat their Eastern rivals? (Shannon Vizniowski/CFL.ca)

It was quite the comeback by the Tiger-Cats last week, while Ottawa gave one up against the Eskimos late on the road.

This is a big game if Ottawa wants to feel they have a strong chance to make a run at the East crown this season. Hamilton would love to once against this week pull further and further ahead.

Dane Evans looks poised in the comeback last week as he appears to be getting a grip on the Hamilton offence. Dominique Davis still makes mistakes but the team is finding away to create their own turnovers to off-set the mistakes on offence.

This will be a tough trip for the Tiger-Cats.

PICK: HAMILTON (50 confidence bonus)

Montreal at Calgary
Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET

LeoVegas Odds
Favourite: Calgary (-7.5)
O/U: 51.5 points

Will Bo Levi Mitchell slot back into the lineup this week? (Jason Halstead/CFL.ca)

Will Bo play? Does it really matter? I don’t think so right now the way the Stampeders are playing without him.

Yes, they’re coming off a loss but it was a great game against the Winnipeg Blue Bombers.

What are the odds the Stamps give up two punt returns in the same game ever again? Slim to none, though the Alouettes got one of their own last week against Saskatchewan.

The Alouettes are getting by but the Stampeders are again one of the strongest teams in the league and are always tough to beat in Calgary.

PICK: CALGARY (75 confidence bonus)


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Week 10 lineup: