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September 11, 2019

DailyRoto: Week 14 fantasy rankings

BCLions.com

Week 14 of TSN CFL Fantasy Football Presented by Leo Vegas presents an awkward scenario when choosing pivots for the three-game slate.

*Do you trust Vernon Adams Jr. ($10,490) against a Roughriders pass defence that is second only to Edmonton in yards allowed per game (235.7) but is a pedestrian fifth in opponents pass efficiency (92.1)?

Is this the week Fantasy users see vintage Mike Reilly ($9,164) versus a reeling REDBLACKS defence that has a combined 43 Fantasy points this season? Or can the Ottawa pass rush — seventh in the league with just 18 sacks — get their turn spending quality time in the BC backfield?

Which Dane Evans ($6,105) will we see? The one who shook off a slow start and lit up the Argos for 442 yards and three total majors in a Labour Day rally? But what if it’s the Evans that has thrown two interceptions in each of his last three games?

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QUARTERBACKS

Matchup Rank (Position Rank) Player Value Opponent
1 (3) Mike Reilly, BC $9,164 OTT
2 (2) Vernon Adams Jr., MTL $10,490 SSK
3 (4) Bo Levi Mitchell, CGY $9,106 HAM
4 (7) Dane Evans, HAM $6,105 CGY
5 (5) Cody Fajardo, SSK $7,870 MTL
6 (9) Jonathon Jennings, OTT $5,581 BC
7 (8) Dominique Davis, OTT $5,831 BC
8 (6) Nick Arbuckle, CGY $6,586 SSK

The biggest issue facing Bo Levi Mitchell ($9,106) isn’t the three interceptions he tossed at Edmonton last week. It’s the 43.9% conversion rate on second down that could be an issue against the Ticats’ D, which is third in prevention with a 44.2% stop rate. You have to labour on an issue, but again: Cody Fajardo ($7,870) has not had a multiple TD-pass game since Week 6. Saskatchewan’s offence is second in total yardage (392.2 yards per game), but until Fajardo starts finding the end zone with his arm instead of his legs, he’ll continue to be fool’s gold for Fantasy users.

Jonathon Jennings ($5,581) brought some life to the Ottawa passing game last week. He’s risky but gets a Lions squad that has allowed 19 passing majors and is eighth in opponents pass efficiency (104.4). Oh, yeah: there’s also the motivation of getting a measure of payback against the team that let him go in the offseason.

RUNNING BACKS

Matchup Rank (Position Rank) Player Value Opponent
1 (2) William Stanback, MTL $8,346 SSK
2 (1) William Powell, SSK $8,905 MTL
3 (8) Ka’Deem Carey, CGY $5,163 HAM
4 (12) Brandon Rutley, BC $4,749 OTT
5 (3) Mossis Madu, OTT $6,816 BC
6 (15) Jackson Bennett, HAM $3,500 CGY
7 (9) Terry Williams, CGY $5,127 HAM
8 (6) Jeremiah Johnson, MTL $5,980 SSK
9 (16) Marcus Thigpen, SSK $3,442 MTL
10 (17) Stefan Logan, OTT $3,109 BC
11 (T-20) Wayne Moore, BC $2,500 OTT
12 (14) Anthony Coombs, HAM $3,658 CGY

There’s a sinking feeling that William Stanback ($8,346) is starting to gather momentum. Keep in mind the Alouettes were running the ball well while he was absent, something to ponder when he faces a Roughriders run defence that allows 5.2 yards per carry. Count on William Powell ($8,905) to have a potentially huge evening against Montreal, which has given up a league-high 12 rushes of at least 20 yards. That’s one way to make Fantasy users forget his Week 13 dud.

If the Stamps get Ka’Deem Carey ($5,163) into the flow early, he could also deliver a rebound effort. Hamilton has given 13 rushing touchdowns while allowing 5.4 yards per carry. Brandon Rutley ($4,749) looked sharp in his return to the lineup last week. There’s sleeper potential with him as he gets a REDBLACKS run D that is last in the league (117.5) against the run along with giving up a league-worst 19 rushing majors.

It’s unlikely Mossis Madu ($6,816) gets 14 targets again. It is encouraging, though, to see him as involved in the Ottawa offence as he was. Jackson Bennett ($3,500) will find the Calgary run defence far less easy to run against than the Toronto unit he ran through on Labour Day. Both Terry Williams ($5,127) and Marcus Thigpen ($3,442) have been quiet of late. One of these return specialists will have a big Week 14.

RECEIVERS

Matchup Rank (Position Rank) Player Value Opponent
1 (2) Reggie Begelton, CGY $10,621 HAM
2 (4) Bryan Burnham, BC $9,413 OTT
3 (1) Brandon Banks, HAM $12,591 CGY
4 (9) Dominique Rhymes, OTT $6,637 BC
5 (6) Eric Rogers, CGY $7,289 HAM
6 (5) Bralon Addison, HAM $7,775 CGY
7 (7) Eugene Lewis, MTL $7,137 SSK
8 (11) Shaquelle Evans, SSK $6,334 MTL
9 (8) Brad Sinopoli, OTT $6,880 BC
10 (12) Kyran Moore, SSK $6,358 MTL
11 (13) DeVier Posey, MTL $6,326 SSK
12 (27) Jaelon Acklin, HAM $3,334 CGY
13 (19) Lemar Durant, BC $4,476 OTT
14 (16) Naaman Roosevelt, SSK $5,604 MTL
15 (23) Quan Bray, MTL $3,813 SSK
16 (25) Duron Carter, BC $3,652 OTT
17 (30) Jake Wieneke, MTL $2,850 SSK
18 (22) Ryan Lankford, BC $3,916 OTT
19 (15) R.J. Harris, OTT $5,761 BC
20 (T-33) Shakeir Ryan, MTL $2,500 SSK
21 (26) Manny Arceneaux, SSK $3,643 MTL
22 (T-33) Jereminic Smith, OTT $2,500 BC
23 (T-33) Marcus Tucker, HAM $2,500 CGY
24 (T-33) Colton Hunchak, CGY $2,500 HAM

Reggie Begelton’s ($10,621) numbers the past three games: 25 catches, 449 yards, six touchdowns. That’s why he’s atop the rankings. If there’s one thing Mike Reilly knows how to do, it’s finding Bryan Burnham ($9,413), who has Fantasy totals of 33.9 and 26.9 points in two of his last four games. Brandon Banks ($12,591) scored three touchdowns in the previous meeting against the Stampeders in Week 5, but based on the way they slowed down the Eskimos, Calgary’s defence will look completely different.

Dominique Rhymes ($6,637) has put up at least 12.3 Fantasy points in each of his last four games; Jonathon Jennings has made him and Brad Sinopoli ($6,880) Fantasy-viable. The touchdowns just aren’t there in Saskatchewan, which hurts Shaquelle Evans ($6334) and Kyran Moore ($6,358). Don’t be surprised if either Eugene Lewis ($7,137) or DeVier Posey ($6,326) pays off if the Roughriders focus too much on stopping Montreal’s ground game. At the same tune, Jake Wieneke ($2,850) or Quan Bray ($3,813) produce solid Fantasy numbers.

Jaelon Acklin ($3,334) could be an X-factor for the Ticats. Someone could benefit if the REDBLACKS are too focused on stopping Burnham. Perhaps its streaky Lemar Durant ($4,476) or this could be the week Duron Carter ($3,652) hits his stride.

DEFENCES

Calgary ($5,181) scored its first defensive major since Week 6 and its best Fantasy total since Week 7. Could the champs be on the rise? The Roughriders ($5,585) have 11 sacks in the past four games along with five interceptions in their last three. In short: pressuring Vernon Adams, Jr. could get results. Hamilton ($4,189) hasn’t recorded a defensive major since Week 2, but did get four sacks and two fumble recoveries against Calgary in Week 5. The Alouettes ($3,513) have gone four games without an interception but have recorded 10 of their 15 sacks in the same span.