September 19, 2019

Start vs. Sit: Carey continues to rule Stamps’ backfield

Johany Jutras/CFL.ca

It’s back to a four-game schedule in Week 14 of TSN CFL Fantasy Football Presented by Leo Vegas. Fantasy users get a pair of double-dips on Friday and Saturday afternoon as the drive toward league championships kick into high gear.

The biggest Fantasy nugget of Week 14 came on Wednesday when Trevor Harris ($11,066) ran with the Eskimos’ first-team offence. A healthy Harris certainly impacts the value of his receiving corps, which will look to bounce back after the Stampeders corralled their big-play potential in consecutive wins.

Harris also will impact this week’s Start/Sit, as Edmonton’s playoff chances will matter almost as much as the Fantasy title hopes of those looking to use him.

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Calgary at Toronto

Friday 7:00 PM (Eastern)

Line: Calgary (-4.5)
O/U: 54

Start: Ka’Deem Carey, RB, Stampeders, $5,371 Salary

Carey appears to have held off Don Jackson ($6,367) for the starting job for at least another week. The Stamps and their eighth-ranked ground game need to get on track as the postseason looms and facing the Argos and their league-worst run defence (125.4 yards per game) presents the best opportunity to get beyond the 78.8 yards per game they’ve managed.

Carey has slipped since his 143-yard effort against the Eskimos on Labour Day and has not scored a rushing major since Week 5. He should consider this perhaps his final chance to prove he can handle the lead role before Calgary turns toward Jackson. Toronto has allowed 15 rushing touchdowns, so if Carey can’t have a huge Friday, his grip on the role of lead back will loosen.

Sit: Armanti Edwards, WR, Argonauts, $6,520 Salary

Once a sure bet to finally reach 1,000 receiving yards for the first time, Edwards has hovered between third and fifth option in the Toronto passing attack since the emergence of Rodney Smith. After recording at least four catches in all but one game before Week 12, Edwards has just four receptions for 67 yards in the last two games. Calgary’s pass defence isn’t as dominant as it was last season, but the Stamps still allow just 7.4 yards per pass while giving up only eight completions of better than 30 yards. Derel Walker ($9,396) and S.J. Green ($7,703) will get the bulk of targets from McLeod Bethel-Thompson ($10,288), with James Wilder Jr. ($9,921) consuming his share, leaving Edwards an odd man out.

Hamilton at Edmonton

Friday 9:30 PM

Line: Hamilton (-2.5)
O/U: 51.5

Start: Bralon Addison, WR, Tiger-Cats, $9,188 Salary

A mark of consistency, Addison has had just one game of less than 10 Fantasy points since producing just 2.6 FP in Week 1. He’s generated at least 11.6 Fantasy points six straight weeks and has enhanced his Fantasy scoring by getting at least three carries five times in the same span. Edmonton still leads the league in passing yardage allowed (198 yards per game), but Addison’s versatility (oh, yeah: keep in mind he was once one of the top prep quarterbacks in the state of Texas) will keep his scoring totals solid at the very least.

Sit: Greg Ellingson, WR, Eskimos, $8,523 Salary

Ellingson has been the opposite of Addison: maddeningly inconsistent on a weekly basis. After erupting for 39 Fantasy points in a Week 10 win over Toronto, Ellingson — who caught 10 passes for 170 yards and two touchdowns in that game — has pulled in a combined 12 catches for 131 yards and no scores in his last three games. Having Trevor Harris back in the lineup could help, but Fantasy users will want to consider DaVaris Daniels ($8108) a better option if the need to consume receptions from Eskimos receivers is a burning need for your Fantasy lineup.

Winnipeg at Montreal

Saturday 4:00 PM

Line: PK
O/U: 48

Start: Chris Streveler, QB, Blue Bombers, $7,575 Salary

Our Fantasy teammate Ben Kramer likes Streveler, and with good reason. Streveler has averaged 76.7 rushing yards and a touchdown per game since filling in for injured Matt Nichols in the lineup. As his Banjo Bowl performance (186 yards, two majors) displayed, Streveler doesn’t need a huge afternoon of passing yardage to justify his presence in a Fantasy lineup. He could get a repeat effort when facing a Montreal pass defence that allows 313.8 yards per game along with league highs in completions of over 30 yards and touchdown passes (21 each). Ben crunches numbers like Streveler in the open field, so trust Mr. Kramer.

Sit: All Blue Bombers receivers

The return of Andrew Harris ($10,845) means Streveler gets his favourite receiver back. Winnipeg has averaged 20.2 passing attempts in the three games Streveler has started, so there are not enough targets to go around to justify having a Bombers receiver in the lineup. The Alouettes’ pass defence is tempting, but Fantasy users are best off passing (pardon the pun) on taking a high-risk gamble.

BC at Ottawa

Saturday 7:00 PM

Line: BC (-2.5)
O/U: 47

Start: John White, RB, Lions, $6,667 Salary

White returned to practice this week and appears ready to return to the lineup after missing two-plus games with an upper-body injury. That’s tough news for Brandon Rutley ($5,011), who recorded the first 100-yard game of his career in last week’s win over the REDBLACKS. White has a pair of 100-yard games this season with five touchdowns and returns just in time to take on an Ottawa defence that’s allowed 21 rushing majors this season. The REDBLACKS are one of just three teams to have given up at least 10 runs of over 20 yards; White has five such runs, making a solid value if he indeed is atop the depth chart on Friday.

Sit: Lemar Durant, WR, Lions, $5,421 Salary

The good news is that Durant scored his first touchdown since Week 4 in last week’s win. However, that’s not enough to hop back on his bandwagon. Bryan Burnham ($9,684) is among the elite Fantasy receivers and will get his usual bulk of targets from Mike Reilly ($9,584), leaving Durant and Duron Carter ($3,538) splitting the rest with the likes of White, Shaquille Johnson ($2,500) and Jevon Cottoy ($2,521). Durant’s star turn is coming, but Saturday won’t be the next step toward it.