MontrealAlouettes.com
TORONTO — The CFL Simulation has returned, just as one of the most up-for-grabs regular seasons in memory enters into its most interesting stretch.
The West Division is separated by just four points, with the Winnipeg Blue Bombers sitting atop the standings at 6-5, having fought their way out of a 0-4 start. Our simulator has been producing results for a decade and has never seen this level of parity across the league, the West Division in particular.
If things stay tight like this, expect to see the numbers below fluctuate from week-to-week. That would be an indication of a very competitive season unfolding. As things stand now, we’ll have a razor-thin race in the West. Take notice of the Edmonton Elks, who sit at 4-8, but have won the simulation over after winning four of their last five games.
Out East, the Montreal Alouettes are unsurprisingly the favourites, fuelled by their 10-1 record.
The Als and BC Lions kick off Week 14 in Montreal this week. The Simulation currently sees this pairing as the most probable meeting in the 111th Grey Cup. If you weren’t thinking Grey Cup preview already, keep a close eye on what we see on Friday night at Molson Stadium.
As always, we’ll give readers a reminder that CFL Simulation is a snapshot of this particular moment in the season, working with the data provided by teams’ records through the first 13 weeks of play.
OK TIRE LABOUR DAY WEEKEND
» Bo Balled: Mitchell’s best game of ’24 produces LDW win
» Lions take down REDBLACKS in first-ever Touchdown Pacific
» Bombers hold off Riders’ late-game push for Labour Day win
» Elks beat Stamps to close out OK Tire Labour Day Weekend
» MMQB: Only a matter of time for Rourke
Check out our first CFL Simulation of the season and see where your team stands.
*C: Clinched a particular outcome
*E: Eliminated from achieving a particular outcome
| ODDS TO MAKE PLAYOFFS | |
| Team (projected 2024 record) | Projection |
| Montreal (14-4) | >99.99% |
| Ottawa (10-7-1) | 98.86% |
| Toronto (9-9) | 93.47% |
| BC (10-8) | 90.23% |
| Winnipeg (9-9) | 79.70% |
| Saskatchewan (8-9-1) | 65.90% |
| Edmonton (8-10) | 64.49% |
| Calgary (6-12) | 3.86% |
| Hamilton (6-12) | 3.19% |
| ODDS TO HOST A PLAYOFF GAME | |
| Team | Projection |
| Montreal | 99.94% |
| BC | 72.22% |
| Ottawa | 70.98% |
| Winnipeg | 56.48% |
| Saskatchewan | 35.90% |
| Toronto | 28.89% |
| Edmonton | 34.43% |
| Calgary | 0.97% |
| Hamilton | 0.03% |
| ODDS TO WIN EAST | |
| Team | Projection |
| Montreal | 98.17% |
| Ottawa | 70.98% |
| Toronto | 0.12% |
| Hamilton | E |
| ODDS TO WIN WEST | |
| Team | Projection |
| BC | 35.70% |
| Winnipeg | 35.53% |
| Saskatchewan | 14.66% |
| Edmonton | 13.85% |
| Calgary | 0.26% |
| ODDS TO APPEAR IN 111TH GREY CUP | |
| Team | Projection |
| Montreal | 81.64% |
| BC | 31.43% |
| Winnipeg | 30.14% |
| Edmonton | 25.47% |
| Saskatchewan | 13.42% |
| Toronto | 9.32% |
| Ottawa | 8.28% |
| Calgary | 0.17% |
| Hamilton | 0.13% |
| ODDS TO WIN 111TH GREY CUP | |
| Team | Projection |
| Montreal | 33.86% |
| Winnipeg | 18.70% |
| Edmonton | 18.52% |
| BC | 17.14% |
| Saskatchewan | 7.01% |
| Toronto | 2.75% |
| Ottawa | 1.93% |
| Calgary | 0.06% |
| Hamilton | 0.03% |
| MOST LIKELY 111TH GREY CUP MATCHUPS | |
| Team | Projection |
| BC-Montreal | 25.50% |
| Winnipeg-Montreal | 24.45% |
| Edmonton-Montreal | 20.64% |
| Saskatchewan-Montreal | 10.83% |
| BC-Toronto | 2.91% |
